Indicadores de Criminalidade Relacionados ao Gasto com Segurança Pública nos Estados Brasileiros

Abstract

Research objective: The paper proposes to investigate crime indicators related to spending on public security in Brazilian states during the period from 2010 to 2018.

Theoretical framework: The research uses studies on the theory of spending, theory of crime, criminality and spending on public security as a theoretical basis.

Methodology: The sample is composed of the population itself, the data arranged in the analyzed period of all Brazilian states, thus containing 211 observations, which were analyzed using the regression technique with panel data.

Results: The results revealed that crime indicators are positively and significantly related to public security expenditure, as well as revealing that the effect of dummy variables (regions) is statistically equal with regard to public security expenditure, since they are not statistically significant to determine spending, that is, regions do not influence spending on public security.

Originality: The study extends knowledge by testing an innovative model, as well as proposing the investigation of whether or not the incidence in the regions is statistically significant for a decrease or increase in crime.

Theoretical and practical contributions: The analyzed data suggest that the allocative function of spending on public security is inefficient in combating crime, requiring public policies that come to combat crime in order to avoid cases such as the one illustrated by the Broken Windows Theory. In addition, it contributes through analytical empirical research, by bringing statistical evidence regarding the variables that can verify whether the crime indicators are related to public security expenditures in the Brazilian states.