Cuando los Alcaldes Contaminan

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21118/apgs.v16i3.16212

Abstract

Obective: The objective is to analyze the extent to which mayors' ideology and municipal election results influence the generation of pollutant emissions.

Theoretical framework: Theories of the political cycle and party preference.

Methodology: We use CO2 emissions as a proxy for environmental damage. For the political variables left, right and electoral cycle dummies were created. These effects were controlled for GDP, harvest area, population density and president's party during the analyzed period. Due to the structure and availability of the information, a data panel with fixed effects was used.

Results: We found that both right-wing and left-wing mayors have incorporated environmental demands into political practice during the exercise of their mandates. However, the same cannot be said of what happens in election years.

Originality: No studies were identified that relate ideology, political cycles and CO2 emissions for Brazil.

Theoretical and practical contributions: The results of this study show that the impact of self-promotion policies in the period studied can be reflected in the environment as a consequence of a spillover effect of public spending over the production-environment relationship. On this basis, it is necessary for society to monitor not only public finances, but also the consequences of public actions on the environment during political cycles.

Keywords: Pollution, Ideology, Political Cycle, Municipalities, Brazil.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Bolognesi, B. et al. (2020). Hacia una clasificacíon idelógica y sociográfica de las derechas brasileñas. In: Anatomía de la derecha chilena: estado, mercado y valores en tiempos de cambio. pp. 323–346.

Boly, M.; Combes, J.; Motel, P. C. (2020). How much does environment pay for politicians? Études et Documents. Disponível em: <https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01845067/>.

Caplin, A. et al. (2019). Advancing environmental exposure assessment science to benefit society. Nature Communications 2019 10:1, v. 10, n. 1, p. 1–11. Disponível em: <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-09155-4> Acesso em: 17 nov. 2022.

Chang, C. P. et al. (2018). Does government ideology affect environmental pollutions? New evidence from instrumental variable quantile regression estimations. Energy Policy, v. 113, p. 386–400. Disponível em: <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.11.021>.

Cisneros, E.; Kis-Katos, K.; Nuryartono, N. (2021). Palm oil and the politics of deforestation in Indonesia. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, v. 108, p. 102453. Disponível em: <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2021.102453>.

D’Amato, A.; Marin, G.; Rampa, A. (2019). Environmental Disasters and Electoral Cycle: An Empirical Analysis on Floods and Landslides in Italy. Environmental and Resource Economics, v. 74, n. 2, p. 625-651. Disponível em: <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-019-00338-7>.

D’Amato, D.; Korhonen, J. (2021). Integrating the green economy, circular economy and bioeconomy in a strategic sustainability framework. Ecological Economics, v. 188, n. May, p. 107143. Disponível em: <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107143>.

De Azevedo, T. R. et al. (2018). SEEG initiative estimates of Brazilian greenhouse gas emissions from 1970 to 2015. Scientific Data, v. 5, n. 1, p. 1–43. Disponível em: <https://www.nature.com/articles/sdata201845> Acesso em: 25 set. 2022.

Diniz, C. C.; Mendes, P. S. (2021). Tendências regionais da indústria brasileira no Século XXITexto para Discussão, No. 2640, BrasíliaInstituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA). Disponível em: <https://doi.org/10.38116/td2640>. Acesso em: 17 nov. 2022.

Downs, A. (1957). An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy. Journal of Political Economy, v. 65, n. 2, p. 135–150. Disponível em: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/1827369>.

Driscoll, J. C.; Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, v. 80, n. 4, p. 549–560. Disponível em: <https://direct.mit.edu/rest/article/80/4/549/57104/Consistent-Covariance-Matrix-Estimation-with> . Acesso em: 4 out. 2022.

Fialho, T. M. M. (1999). Ciclos políticos?: uma resenha. Revista de Economia Política, v. 19, n. 74, p. 381–400.

Garmann, S. (2014). Do government ideology and fragmentation matter for reducing CO2-emissions? Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Ecological Economics, v. 105, p. 1–10. Disponível em: <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.05.011>.

Giambiagi, F. (2016). Economia Brasileira Contemporânea: (1945-2015). 3th. ed. GEN Atlas.

Greene, W. H. (2020). Econometric Analysis. 8th. ed. Pearson Education Limited.

Hibbs, D. A. (1997). Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy. American Political Science Association, v. 71, n. 4, p. 1467–1487. Disponível em: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/1961490>.

Hibbs, D. A. (1992). Partisan theory after fifteen years. European Journal of Political Economy, v. 8, n. 3, p. 361–373.

Hsiao, C. (2007). Panel data analysis—advantages and challenges. Test, v. 16, n. 1, p. 1–22. Disponível em: <https://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11749-007-0046-x>. Acesso em: 16 nov. 2022.

Im, K. S.; Pesaran, M. H.; Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, v. 115, n. 1, p. 53–74.

Kramer, K. J.; Moll, H. C.; Nonhebel, S. (1999). Total greenhouse gas emissions related to the Dutch crop production system. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, v. 72, n. 1, p. 9–16.

Li, Z. et al. (2019). Impact of foreign direct investment on environmental performance. Sustainability (Switzerland), v. 11, n. 13, p. 1–16.

Liu, Y.; Zhou, Y.; Wu, W. (2015). Assessing the impact of population, income and technology on energy consumption and industrial pollutant emissions in China. Applied Energy, v. 155, p. 904–917.

Monni, S.; Syri, S. (2011). Weekly greenhouse gas emissions of municipalities: Methods and comparisons. Energy Policy, v. 39, n. 9, p. 4755–4765.

Neumayer, E. (2003). Are left-wing party strength and corporatism good for the environment? Evidence from panel analysis of air pollution in OECD countries. Ecological Economics, v. 45, p. 203–220.

Neumayer, E. (2004). The environment, left-wing political orientation and ecological economics. Ecological Economics, v. 51, p. 167–175.

Nong, D.; Simshauser, P.; Nguyen, D. B. (2021). Greenhouse gas emissions vs CO2 emissions: Comparative analysis of a global carbon tax. Applied Energy, v. 298.

Nordhaus, W. D. (1975). The Political Business Cycle. The Review of Economic Studies, v. 42, n. 2, p. 169–190. Disponível em: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/2296528>.

Pailler, S. (2018). Re-election incentives and deforestation cycles in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, v. 88, p. 345–365. Disponível em: <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2018.01.008>.

Payne, R. A. (1995). Freedom and the Environment. Journal of Democracy, v. 6, n. 3, p. 41–55.

Polloni-Silva, E. et al. (2021). Environmental kuznets curve and the pollution-halo/haven hypotheses: An investigation in brazilian municipalities. Sustainability (Switzerland), v. 13, n. 8, p. 1–19.

Rodrigues-Filho, S. et al. (2015). Election-driven weakening of deforestation control in the Brazilian Amazon. Land Use Policy, v. 43, p. 111–118.

Rodrigues, L. M. (2009). Partidos, ideologia e composição social: um estudo das bancadas partidárias na câmara dos deputados. Rio de Janeiro: Centro Edelstein de Pesquisas Sociais.

SEEG. (2022). O Sistema de Estimativas de Emissões e Remoções de Gases de Efeito Estufa. Disponível em: <http://seeg.eco.br/>.

Smil, V. (2019). What We Need to Know about the Pace of Decarbonization. Substantia, p. 69–73.

Somin, I. (2006). Knowledge about ignorance: New directions in the study of political information. Critical Review, v. 18, n. 1–3, p. 255–278.

Sterner, T.; Coria, J. (2012). Policy Instruments for Environmental and Natural Resource Management. 2. ed. London: Routledge.

Wang, Q. J. et al. (2022). The influence of political ideology on greenhouse gas emissions. Global Environmental Change, v. 74, p. 102496. Disponível em: <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102496>.

Wen, J. et al. (2016). Does government ideology influence environmental performance? Evidence based on a new dataset. Economic Systems, v. 40, p. 232–246. Disponível em: <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2016.04.001>.

Yamada Nakaguma, M.; Bender, S. (2010). Ciclos Políticos e Resultados Eleitorais: Um Estudo sobre o Comportamento do Eleitor Brasileiro. Revista Brasileira de Economia, v. 64, n. 1, p. 3–24.

Published

2024-09-30

How to Cite

Santos Robinson, A. L. dos, de Menezes Larrauscaim, I., de Freitas, C. A., & Perozo, D. (2024). Cuando los Alcaldes Contaminan. Administração Pública E Gestão Social, 16(3). https://doi.org/10.21118/apgs.v16i3.16212

Issue

Section

Articles